Nearly Half of France’S Muslims Say They Would Consider Leaving If Le Pen Wins

The poll, carried out for the weekly Marianne among 9,689 people and published on 14 October, measures how religious visibility and discrimination are straining French society months before the 2027 presidential vote. Its headline number: 46 percent of Muslim respondents would consider leaving France under a Le Pen presidency.

Across the whole sample, 21 percent of French people say they would consider going into exile if the Rassemblement National wins. Among civil servants, 45 percent say they would be ready to disobey laws they consider unjust — a figure that rises to 77 percent among voters of Jean-Luc Mélenchon.

“L'arrivée au pouvoir de la candidate donnée favorite par les sondages risque de susciter des blocages importants et génère des niveaux élevés de craintes et de sentiment d'insécurité.”

“The arrival in power of the candidate the polls call the favourite risks causing major blockages and generates high levels of fear and insecurity.”

— François Kraus, Ifop, quoted by Planet.fr

Threat or promise?

Ifop’s deputy director warns of “major blockages” if Le Pen takes power. On the right, many read the same figure differently: critics on X greeted it as a selling point rather than a warning. Le Pen is the favourite in current polling for 2027.